Western Kentucky — 2026 schedule & results record 3-4 · model's picks 5-2 so far
Proj rating -0.7 · SOS -7.8 · Mean wins 7.7 · Picked 10-2 · Vegas 7.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Nevada | away | L 14–49 | -0.25 ✗ | +6.2 | 64% | W ✗ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Georgia | away | L 20–70 | +40.25 ✗ | -25.7 | 7% | L ✓ |
Georgia -39.5 · WIN +25 |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Indiana | away | L 0–38 | +44.75 ✓ | -24.0 | 8% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Mercyhurst | home | W 52–7 | -40 ✓ | +30.0 | 96% | W ✓ | |
| 5 | Thu 10/01 | New Mexico State | away | L 13–34 | +1.5 ✗ | +10.7 | 73% | W ✗ |
New Mexico State -2.5 · WIN +19 Western Kentucky +2.5 · LOSS -50 |
| 6 | Thu 10/08 | Missouri State | home | W 34–13 | +1.75 ✓ | +14.4 | 80% | W ✓ |
Western Kentucky -2.5 · WIN +18 |
| 7 | Wed 10/14 | Sam Houston | away | W 16–3 | -1.25 ✓ | +14.7 | 81% | W ✓ |
Western Kentucky -1 · WIN +18 |
| 9 | Tue 10/27 | Delaware | home | — | -1.25 | +12.0 | 77% | W | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | Middle Tennessee | away | — | — | +9.8 | 73% | W | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Jacksonville State | home | — | — | +10.2 | 72% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | Liberty | away | — | — | +4.5 | 61% | W | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Kennesaw State | home | — | — | +14.6 | 81% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.